GWYNNE DYER: Why Mark Carney could launch a new 'middle power' alliance
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Key figures
However, it still has over 5,000 nuclear weapons, and Vladimir Putin might choose a high-risk gamble to finish his four-and-a-half-year war in Ukraine quickly rather than plodding on endlessly at a dozen metres a day.
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B.I.A.S. ANALYSIS
CENTER LEFT
Signal breakdown
Heuristic (v1/v3)
-0.40 · CENTER
ML v2 (DistilBERT)
0.389 · RIGHT
Ensemble
-0.305 · CENTER LEFT
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· Postmedia (ex-SaltWire, 2024)
Rolling outlet bias
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avg -0.124
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7-day bias trend
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GWYNNE DYER: Why Mark Carney could launch a new 'middle power' alliance
Canada's Prime Minister is building a new allegiance among powers that oppose the 'big three': the US, Russia and China
Author of the article:
By Gwynne Dyer
Published Sep 22, 2026
Last updated 45 minutes ago
4 minute read
Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks during Question Period in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill in Ottawa September 21, 2026. Photo by Blair Gable/Postmedia PHOTO BY BLAIR GABLE /Photo by Blair Gable / Postmedia
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“You campaign in poetry. You govern in prose,” said former New York Governor Mario Cuomo 40 years ago.
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Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney is now in the poetic phase of his campaign to create an alliance — maybe just a loose alliance — of middle powers who can resist the brutal strength of the great powers.
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Carney knows how the world used to work, and how it is changing as the ‘rules-based international order’ fades away under the impact of the three great autocrats, Putin, Trump and Xi.
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“Middle powers must act together,” he told the Davos conference last January, “because if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.”
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“The old order is not coming back,” he told them. That should have been obvious to all of them, but many countries in Europe and beyond still clung to the belief that somehow, one of these days, maybe after Trump relinquishes power or dies, the old order can be resurrected.
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In a single speech that catapulted him into the de facto position of leader of the middle powers, he disabused them of that fantasy and offered them a path to resistance instead.
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They gave him a standing ovation, a very rare thing at Davos — and he managed to convince them without mentioning any of the problematic powers by name.
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So I will.
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What does the risk look like from the great powers?
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The United States is obviously the most dangerous of the three great powers, having fallen under the control of a man who regards war as a useful tool for subjugating countries or changing their governments. The United States has…
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