Toronto mayoral race tightens, Chow’s lead cut to single digits
Original article ↗What we measured
Outlets covering
2
Lean bands spanned
1
Widest spread
Center
Verdict
Unverifiable
Key figures
The latest study from Liaison Strategies has Chow at 47 per cent among decided and leaning voters, just seven points ahead of Bradford, who is at 40 per cent.
Chris Alexander remains in third place at 10 per cent.
Her lead has gone from 11 points to seven, with Chow down three points and Bradford up one,” David Valentin, principal at Liaison Strategies, said.
“Chow leads Bradford 46 per cent to 41 per cent in North York and 46 per cent to 43 per cent in Scarborough.” Toronto’s municipal election will be held on Oct.
Methodology: Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Toronto residents from September 19 to September 20, 2026, using Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology.
Quoted verbatim from the article — not summarised.
B.I.A.S. ANALYSIS
CENTER
Where the 2 outlets covering this sit
Center
100%
None framing
Center majority
2-outlet cluster
Broad pickup
Signal breakdown
Heuristic (v1/v3)
-0.20 · CENTER
ML v2 (DistilBERT)
0.241 · RIGHT
Ensemble
0.241 · CENTER
🏦 Source Intelligence
🏢 Corporate
· Corus Entertainment
Rolling outlet bias
CENTER
avg -0.191
6,721 articles tracked all-time
7-day bias trend
LcenterR
V.E.R.I.F.Y. has fact-checked this article.
Subscribe to see claim-by-claim verdicts and reasoning.
Subscribe to see claim-by-claim verdicts and reasoning.
🔍 Intelligence Feed
Cross-Watch · Gov · Parliament · Legal · Civic
📄 Related Gov Tenders
Via Gov Watch · CanadaBuys + PSPC tenders
🏛 Related Parliament Votes
Via Civic Watch · OpenParliament.ca
🏙 Related Municipal Events
Via Civic Watch · City council, bylaws & permits
Article Excerpt
POLITICS
Toronto mayoral race tightens, Chow’s lead cut to single digits
By Isaac Callan Global News
Posted September 22, 2026 12:26 pm
2 min read
View image in full screen
Nathan Phillips Square is an urban plaza is seen in Toronto, Ont., Monday, Aug. 2, 2021. It forms the forecourt to Toronto City Hall, or New City Hall, at the intersection of Queen Street West and Bay Street, and is named for Nathan Phillips, mayor of Toronto from 1955 to 1962. THE CANADIAN PRESS IMAGES/Jeff McIntosh
LEAVE A COMMENT
SHARE THIS ITEM ON FACEBOOK
SHARE THIS ITEM ON X
SEND THIS PAGE TO SOMEONE VIA EMAIL
SEE MORE SHARING OPTIONS
DESCREASE ARTICLE FONT SIZE
INCREASE ARTICLE FONT SIZE
The race to be Toronto’s next mayor is tightening, according to a new poll, which shows challenger Brad Bradford gaining ground on incumbent Olivia Chow.
The latest study from Liaison Strategies has Chow at 47 per cent among decided and leaning voters, just seven points ahead of Bradford, who is at 40 per cent.
Chris Alexander remains in third place at 10 per cent.
“Chow’s cushion is smaller. Her lead has gone from 11 points to seven, with Chow down three points and Bradford up one,” David Valentin, principal at Liaison Strategies, said.
“It’s a closer result, but not enough to establish a new trend. Bradford has gained some ground without overtaking the mayor.”
Get breaking Montreal news
Get breaking Montreal news delivered to your inbox as it happens so you won't miss a trending story.
SIGN UP FOR BREAKING MONTREAL NEWSLETTER
GET STARTED
BY PROVIDING YOUR EMAIL ADDRESS, YOU HAVE READ AND AGREE TO GLOBAL NEWS' TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY.
The past two polls from Liaison had Chow holding a low double-digit lead over Bradford. As the campaign has heated up, support for the incumbent appears to have slipped slightly.
STORY CONTINUES BELOW ADVERTISEMENT
The Liaison poll found the cost of living was voters’ top priority, followed by housing affordability, then crime and safety, with congestion rated next highest.
The latest study went into the field after the first Toronto mayoral debate attended by all three leading candidates and hosted by Daily Bread Food Bank.
Valentin said the race played differently across the city, with Chow ahead in downtown and Bradford leading in Etobicoke.
MORE ON POLITICS
MORE VIDEOS
Liberals extending fuel excise tax suspension to January
Montreal adopts bylaw banning insults against municipal employees
Trump defends starting war against Iran…
Read full article at Global News ↗
Local coverage · Ontario
Last 14 days, matched on province.
How we scored this article
WTF uses a two-tier system: every article gets a heuristic bias score from keyword analysis, and priority articles (high overlap across 3+ outlets or strong heuristic signal) get full LLM analysis from B.I.A.S. and V.E.R.I.F.Y.
Cite this analysis
1 outlet covered this story
Side-by-side comparison · bias by outlet · framing analysis