Canada must consider even unlikely threats — including an American invasion
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Mark Carney●
UNIVERSITY OF MANITOBA●
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1, which considered the possibility of conflict with the U.S.
to withdraw from Ireland) conducted armed incursions into Canada, targeting military fortifications in 1866, 1870 and 1871.
The 9/11 attacks were also an example of a black swan event because their scale and impact were largely unexpected, even though there were warnings of a potential terrorist threat.
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Excerpt from The Conversation Canada
President Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney meet at the White House in Washington, D.C., in October 2025. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Canada must consider even unlikely threats — including an American invasion
Published: September 24, 2026 3.48pm EDT
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Prime Minister Mark Carney says he has considered the possibility of American military action against Canada, and that the Canadian Armed Forces had examined potential responses.
Such a scenario remains extraordinarily unlikely, but that’s precisely why it belongs in contingency planning.…
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