Bell: What?! Smith UCP, Nenshi NDP are neck and neck — now it's war
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Signal breakdown
Heuristic (v1/v3)
-0.20 · CENTER
ML v2 (DistilBERT)
0.315 · RIGHT
Ensemble
-0.343 · CENTER LEFT
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avg -0.178
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Bell: What?! Smith UCP, Nenshi NDP are neck and neck — now it's war
Danielle Smith vs. Naheed Nenshi, the UCP and NDP are tied in support and Alberta politics gets even more interesting
Author of the article:
By Rick Bell
Published Sep 25, 2026
4 minute read
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Naheed Nenshi vs. Danielle Smith, the UCP and NDP are tied in support and Alberta politics gets even more interesting. Postmedia file photos
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The numbers jolt you into reality on Friday morning faster and harder than a string of high-octane coffees and a couple of Red Bulls.
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What also slaps you in the face is the fact the nose count is done by Janet Brown, who has a very good reputation as a pollster. This is not some fly-by-night number crunching.
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Far from it.
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As with polls in the past, CBC shares what they find.
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Bam! In Alberta, the NDP under Naheed Nenshi is up 5 points. The UCP under Premier Danielle Smith is down 8 points.
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The two parties are deadlocked at 41 percentage points. Other parties are far behind.
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In battleground Calgary, right after a byelection vote where the UCP couldn’t hold a seat they held in the conservative south of the city, more bad news shouts the numbers going into the weekend.
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In Calgary, the NDP are up eight points on the UCP, 46 percent to 38 per cent.
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Since the last poll, the NDP is up 9 points and the UCP is down by 10 points.
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Smith’s UCP are not breaking through in the NDP fortress of Edmonton and are losing ground by 14 points outside the two big cities.
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Still, the UCP has so much support outside Calgary and Edmonton, they are still well ahead of Nenshi and his crew.
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Alberta separatists seem to be spinning their wheels, if the latest poll is any indication. Postmedia…
Read full article at Calgary Herald ↗
Local coverage · Alberta
Last 14 days, matched on province.
How we scored this article
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