Mark Carney’s support surge coming largely from former Conservatives, poll finds

Advertisement 1 This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Breadcrumb Trail Links HomeNP Comment Mark Carney’s support surge coming largely from former Conservatives, poll finds Tristin Hopper: Roughly one million who voted Tory in 2025 would now vote for Carney – more than enough to flip dozens of Conservative ridings across Ontario and Atlantic Canada Author of the article: By Tristin Hopper Published Sep 10, 2026 4 minute read Join the conversation Prime Minister Mark Carney at a news conference during a Liberal cabinet retreat in Banff on Thursday, September 10, 2026. PHOTO BY GAVIN YOUNG/POSTMEDIA Article content Prime Minister Mark Carney’s sustained surge in the polls is coming predominantly from former Conservatives, according to new figures published by the Angus Reid Institute. Article content According to a new poll published on Thursday, 13 per cent of respondents who voted Conservative in 2025 would now vote for a Carney-led Liberal party if given the chance. Article content RECOMMENDED VIDEOS Article content That may not sound like a lot, but given that a record 8.1 million Canadians voted Conservative in the last federal election, that works out to an exodus equivalent to one million votes – more than enough to flip dozens of Conservative ridings across Ontario and Atlantic Canada. Article content Article content And in a feat with few precedents in Canadian political history, the Liberals are luring over Tories while simultaneously siphoning off support from both the NDP and the Bloc Québécois – accelerating a trend that already saw both parties lose catastrophically to the Liberals in 2025. Article content Right? The National Post newsletter that doesn’t hold back, giving readers the unvarnished truth on media, politics and culture. Sign Up By signing up, you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. Interested in more newsletters? Browse here. Article content The New Democrats scored their worst-ever result in 2025, winning just seven seats and 6.29 per cent of the vote. And of those voters, nearly a third have since decamped to the Liberals. The Angus Reid Institute found that 31 per cent of respondents who voted NDP in 2025 now intended to vote for Carney. Article content Although, notably, this NDP exodus was cancelled out by a tide of disaffected Liberal voters heading in the other direction; 15 per cent of 2025 Liberal voters are now expressing an intention…