Canada’s resale real estate market on the edge of a recovery
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Canada’s resale real estate market on the edge of a recovery
RBC Economics expects recovery will likely be uneven across Canada this fall.
Author of the article:
By Joel Schlesinger • for the Calgary Herald
Published Sep 17, 2026
Last updated 1 day ago
1 minute read
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The fall homes market will likely continue to be uneven across Canada. PHOTO BY SHAUGHN BUTTS /Postmedia
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Canada’s housing market appears to have hit bottom and could be in recovery mode, though its path is likely to be bumpy, according to a new report. RBC Economics published a report earlier this month, noting that resales have been on a “winning streak since April.”
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Inventory is moderating while prices are stabilizing. RBC pointed to added upside as housing affordability has improved along with a better job market.
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In turn, it argued that growing buyer confidence could unlock pent-up demand as the built-up inventory of homes on the market begins to decline.
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Still, RBC struck a cautious tone for the fall, noting the recovery will likely be uneven across Canada.
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The deep corrections in Vancouver and the Greater Toronto Area markets have “left a deep mark on sentiment,” leaving former, would-be buyers reluctant to return.
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What’s more, any increase in demand in the next few months will not prevent further sales and price declines by year’s end.
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RBC predicted that sales will drop about four per cent, while the benchmark price could fall about two per cent to $794,200.
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Yet it added that sales will improve nearly seven per cent in 2027, with the benchmark price expected to gain almost one per cent to $800,700.
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It cautioned that low confidence among prospective buyers — a key headwind to sales in Canada — had been fuelled by a slumping market of falling prices, poor affordability, a soft economy and job security concerns.
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Those conditions are easing, it added, with…
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